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Against probability: A quantum state is more than a list of probability distributions

Published 26 Jan 2026 in quant-ph | (2601.18872v1)

Abstract: The state $ρ$ of a quantum system can be represented by a vector $\mathbf{P}{\mathcal{M}}(ρ)$ of outcome probabilities for a set of measurements $\mathcal{M}$. Such representations appear throughout physics, for example, in quantum field theory via correlation functions and in quantum foundations within generalized probabilistic frameworks. In this work, we identify an unavoidable tension: to enable operationally meaningful statements, the map ${ρ\mapsto \mathbf{P}{\mathcal{M}}(ρ)}$ must be topologically robust $\unicode{x2013}$ preserving the notion of closeness between states. Yet, a probability representation that is topologically robust cannot simultaneously retain other essential structure, such as the subsystem structure.

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