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Methane on the temperate exo-Saturn TOI-199b

Published 19 Nov 2025 in astro-ph.EP | (2511.15835v1)

Abstract: Temperate ($T_{\rm eq}&lt;400$ K) gas giants represent an unexplored frontier in exoplanet atmospheric spectroscopy. Orbiting a G-type star every ~100 days, the Saturn-mass exoplanet TOI-199 b (Teq=350T_{\rm eq}=350 K) is one of the most favorable low-temperature gas giants for atmospheric study. Here, we present its transmission spectrum from a single transit observed with JWST's NIRSpec G395M mode. Despite lower-than-nominal precision due to a pointing misalignment, Bayesian retrievals reveal the presence of CH<em>4<em>4 (Bayes factor of \sim700 in a cloudy atmosphere), corresponding to a metallicity of C/H=13<sup>+78</sup></em>12×\rm{C/H}=13<sup>{+78}</sup></em>{-12}\times solar, although the absence of detectable CO and CO2_2 disfavors metallicities 50×\gtrsim50\times solar. We also tested several haze prescriptions (Titan-like tholin, soot, and water-rich tholin), but the preference for these models is weak (Bayes factors of 2\sim 2 relative to the clear case). The spectrum also shows an increase in transit depth near 3 μμm, which our self-consistent models attribute to either NH3_3 or, less likely, HCN. Follow-up observations will distinguish between these species, helping determine the planet's vertical mixing regime. The TOI-199 system exhibits strong transit timing variations (TTVs) due to an outer non-transiting giant planet. For planet c, our TTV analysis reduces its mass uncertainty by 50% and prefers a slightly longer orbital period (still within the conservative habitable zone) and higher eccentricity relative to previous studies. TOI-199 b serves as the first data point for studying clouds and hazes in temperate gas giants. The detection of methane supports the emerging trend that temperate low-molecular-weight atmospheres display spectral features in transmission.

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