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The atmospheric composition of TOI-270 d

Published 17 Nov 2025 in astro-ph.EP | (2511.13830v1)

Abstract: The first explorations of temperate sub-Neptune exoplanets have been the hallmark of early JWST observations. The bulk properties of such planets are consistent with a range of possible internal structures, which can be distinguished through their interactions with the observable atmospheres. JWST observations of TOI-270 d, a temperate sub-Neptune, have previously led to contrasting conclusions: either a Hycean world, possessing a liquid water ocean, or a mixed-envelope sub-Neptune, where high temperatures prevent a liquid ocean and lead to a high mean molecular weight atmosphere. In order to resolve this uncertainty, we present a comprehensive retrieval analysis of TOI-270 d using recent NIRISS and NIRSpec transit spectroscopy across \sim1-5 μμm. We find that prior inferences of a mixed envelope were affected by specific modelling choices leading to a high terminator temperature and high mean-molecular weight in the atmosphere. We confirm an H<em>2<em>2-rich atmosphere in TOI-270 d and present revised constraints on the molecular log-mixing ratios and maximal detection significances of CH4_4 at 1.86<sup>+0.30</sup></em>0.29-1.86<sup>{+0.30}</sup></em>{-0.29} (6.4 σσ), CO<em>2<em>2 at 1.71<sup>+0.38</sup></em>0.66-1.71<sup>{+0.38}</sup></em>{-0.66} (3.9 σσ), H<em>2<em>2O at 1.88<sup>+0.78</sup></em>4.13-1.88<sup>{+0.78}</sup></em>{-4.13} (2.1 σσ) and CS<em>2<em>2 at 4.74<sup>+0.65</sup></em>1.10-4.74<sup>{+0.65}</sup></em>{-1.10} (2.0 σσ), with a terminator temperature of 323<sup>+5852323<sup>{+58}_{-52} K at 10 mbar. We also find tentative evidence for more complex methyl-bearing species such as C2_2H6_6 and/or DMS at a 2.1-2.5 σσ level. The present constraints are consistent with TOI-270 d being a Hycean or dark Hycean world, with planet-wide or nightside liquid water oceans. However, more observations are required to verify the present findings and robustly constrain the atmospheric conditions and internal structure of TOI-270 d.

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