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Neighbour-count dependent thinning of Poisson processes: correlation structure and Poisson approximation

Published 13 Nov 2025 in math.PR | (2511.10083v1)

Abstract: We study a local thinning $T_r$ that retains a point with probability $p(n_r)$, where $n_r$ counts neighbors within radius $r$. For Poisson input with spatially varying intensity, we obtain an exact intensity via a Poisson--mixture formula and a small-radius expansion. For homogeneous input we give a closed-form pair correlation based on the three-region overlap . First-order contact-scale asymptotics identify how the values $p(0),p(1),p(2)$ govern inhibition or clustering. On bounded windows we approximate $T_r(X)$ by a Poisson process with matched intensity through three routes: (i) a direct coupling to an independent thinning giving a total-variation bound; (ii) a Laplace-functional error supported at distances $\le 2r$ and of order $|W|\,λ2 rd$; and (iii) a Stein bound in the Barbour--Brown $d_2$ metric controlled by $\int_{|h|\le 2r} |g(h)-1|\,dh$.

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