Survivors, Complainers, and Borderliners: Upward Bias in Online Discussions of Academic Conference Reviews (2509.16831v1)

Abstract: Online discussion platforms, such as community Q&A sites and forums, have become important hubs where academic conference authors share and seek information about the peer review process and outcomes. However, these discussions involve only a subset of all submissions, raising concerns about the representativeness of the self-reported review scores. In this paper, we conduct a systematic study comparing the review score distributions of self-reported submissions in online discussions (based on data collected from Zhihu and Reddit) with those of all submissions. We reveal a consistent upward bias: the score distribution of self-reported samples is shifted upward relative to the population score distribution, with this difference statistically significant in most cases. Our analysis identifies three distinct contributors to this bias: (1) survivors, authors of accepted papers who are more likely to share good results than those of rejected papers who tend to conceal bad ones; (2) complainers, authors of high-scoring rejected papers who are more likely to voice complaints about the peer review process or outcomes than those of low scores; and (3) borderliners, authors with borderline scores who face greater uncertainty prior to decision announcements and are more likely to seek advice during the rebuttal period. These findings have important implications for how information seekers should interpret online discussions of academic conference reviews.