Moduli of surfaces fibered in log Calabi-Yau pairs (2509.14145v1)

Abstract: We study the moduli spaces of surface pairs $(X,D)$ admitting a log Calabi--Yau fibration $(X,D) \to C$. We develop a series of results on stable reduction and apply them to give an explicit description of the boundary of the KSBA compactification. Three interesting cases where our results apply are: (1) divisors on $\mathbb{P}^1 \times \mathbb{P}^1$ of bidegree $(2n,m)$; (2) K3 surfaces which map $2:1$ to $\mathbb{F}_n$, with $X=\mathbb{F}_n$ and $D$ the ramification locus, or (3) elliptic surfaces with either a section or a bisection. The main tools employed are stable quasimaps, the canonical bundle formula, and the minimal model program.