The effect of a new power interconnector on energy prices volatility: the case of Sicily

Abstract: The energy transition process requires the transformation of energy markets and substantial infrastructure investments. In electricity markets, in particular, infrastructure developments can significantly influence market performance. This study examines the impact of the introduction of the "Sorgente-Rizziconi" interconnector, which was integrated into the Italian electricity grid in May 2016 and enhanced power interconnection between Sicily and the mainland. The analysis focusses on the interconnector's effects on zonal price volatility within the Italian day-ahead electricity market. Prices and volatility are modelled using two distinct heteroscedastic approaches: a semi-parametric additive model and a fully non-parametric additive model. The results obtained from both modelling strategies indicate that: (i) the interconnector had a direct effect only on Sicily; (ii) it did not lead to a reduction in the price level; and (iii) it contributed to an increase in the baseline level of price volatility.