Predictive Modeling of Rat Brain Local Field Potentials using Single-Variable and Multivariable Approaches

Abstract: Accurate prediction of neural dynamics in the brain's reward circuitry is crucial for elucidating how natural and pharmacological rewards influence neural activity and connectivity. Traditional linear models, such as autoregressive (AR) and vector autoregressive (VAR), often inadequately capture the inherent nonlinear interactions in neural data. This study develops and benchmarks both linear and advanced deep learning models for predicting local field potentials (LFPs) in the rat hippocampus (HIP) and nucleus accumbens (NAc) across morphine, food, and saline conditions. We compared AR, VAR, long short-term memory (LSTM), and wavelet-based deep learning model (WCLSA). Additionally, a novel wavelet coherence-enhanced model (WCOH CLSA) was introduced to capture cross-region connectivity. Results indicate that WCLSA achieves superior predictive accuracy (up to 0.97 for HIP in food, 0.96 for NAc in morphine), while VAR performs competitively in the food group due to significant HIP-NAc correlation. Wavelet coherence analysis reveals robust connectivity in natural reward contexts and disrupted or nonlinear relationships under pharmacological influence. These findings highlight the differential engagement of HIP and NAc in reward processing and underscore the importance of advanced nonlinear models for capturing complex neural dynamics. The study provides a robust framework for predictive neuroscience and elucidates functional interactions within the reward circuitry.