Sharp thresholds for spanning regular subgraphs

Abstract: We prove that $(1+o(1))\sqrt{e/n}$ is the sharp threshold for the appearance of the square of a Hamilton cycle in $G(n,p)$, confirming the conjecture of Kahn, Narayanan, and Park. We also find the exact asymptotics of the threshold for the emergence of a spanning subgraph isomorphic to a fixed graph $F$ for a wide family of $d$-regular graphs $F$. This family includes almost all $d$-regular graphs.