Adopting Trustworthy AI for Sleep Disorder Prediction: Deep Time Series Analysis with Temporal Attention Mechanism and Counterfactual Explanations

Abstract: Sleep disorders have a major impact on both lifestyle and health. Effective sleep disorder prediction from lifestyle and physiological data can provide essential details for early intervention. This research utilizes three deep time series models and facilitates them with explainability approaches for sleep disorder prediction. Specifically, our approach adopts Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for time series data analysis, and Temporal Fusion Transformer model (TFT). Meanwhile, the temporal attention mechanism and counterfactual explanation with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) approach are employed to ensure dependable, accurate, and interpretable predictions. Finally, using a large dataset of sleep health measures, our evaluation demonstrates the effect of our method in predicting sleep disorders.