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Comments on the Union3 "Spline-Interpolated Distance Moduli" Model

Published 5 Dec 2024 in astro-ph.CO | (2412.14181v1)

Abstract: The Union3 "Spline-Interpolated Distance Moduli" model posterior has been distributed for third-party cosmology analysis. The posterior prefers a large value of ΩM\Omega_M, a small absolute value of w0w_0, and a negative waw_a, but still accommodates Λ\LambdaCDM; the supernova data alone are not strongly constraining. The posterior is built assuming an underlying model and prior, both of which must be made to conform with any new model and prior being analyzed. The posterior is calculated for a prior that is not flat but rather has non-trivial structure in ΩM\Omega_M-w0w_0-waw_a; the associated likelihood is slightly shifted relative to the posterior. The posterior for a prior that is flat in ΩM\Omega_M-w0w_0-waw_a is also shifted relative to the original, but not at a level that is statistically significant. The misapplication of Union3 results in the "DESI2024 VI" cosmology fits are inconsequential.

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