Robust Proximity Operations using Probabilistic Markov Models

Abstract: A Markov decision process-based state switching is devised, implemented, and analyzed for proximity operations of various autonomous vehicles. The framework contains a pose estimator along with a multi-state guidance algorithm. The unified pose estimator leverages the extended Kalman filter for the fusion of measurements from rate gyroscopes, monocular vision, and ultra-wideband radar sensors. It is also equipped with Mahalonobis distance-based outlier rejection and under-weighting of measurements for robust performance. The use of probabilistic Markov models to transition between various guidance modes is proposed to enable robust and efficient proximity operations. Finally, the framework is validated through an experimental analysis of the docking of two small satellites and the precision landing of an aerial vehicle.