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Variation inequalities for smartingales

Published 20 Sep 2024 in math.PR and math.FA | (2409.13227v1)

Abstract: A result by N.G. Makarov [Algebra i Analiz, 1989] states that for martingales (Mn)(M_n) on the torus we have the strict inequality [ \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{M_n}{\sum_{k=1}n |\Delta M_k|} > 0 ] on a set of Hausdorff dimension one, denoting by ΔMn\Delta M_n the martingale differences ΔMn=Mn−Mn−1 \Delta M_n = M_n - M_{n-1} . We discuss an extension of this inequality to so-called smartingales on convex, compact subsets of R<sup>d\mathbb R<sup>d, which are piecewise polynomial (or spline) versions of martingales. As a tool we need and prove an estimate for smartingales in the spirit of the law of the iterated logarithm.

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