Papers
Topics
Authors
Recent
Search
2000 character limit reached

Exploring the Decentraland Economy: Multifaceted Parcel Attributes, Key Insights, and Benchmarking

Published 11 Apr 2024 in cs.LG, cs.AI, and cs.ET | (2404.07533v3)

Abstract: This paper presents a comprehensive Decentraland parcels dataset, called IITP-VDLand, sourced from diverse platforms such as Decentraland, OpenSea, Etherscan, Google BigQuery, and various Social Media Platforms. Unlike existing datasets which have limited attributes and records, IITP-VDLand offers a rich array of attributes, encompassing parcel characteristics, trading history, past activities, transactions, and social media interactions. Alongside, we introduce a key attribute in the dataset, namely Rarity score, which measures the uniqueness of each parcel within the virtual world. Addressing the significant challenge posed by the dispersed nature of this data across various sources, we employ a systematic approach, utilizing both available APIs and custom scripts, to gather it. Subsequently, we meticulously curate and organize the information into four distinct fragments: (1) Characteristics, (2) OpenSea Trading History, (3) Ethereum Activity Transactions, and (4) Social Media. We envisage that this dataset would serve as a robust resource for training machine- and deep-learning models specifically designed to address real-world challenges within the domain of Decentraland parcels. The performance benchmarking of more than 20 state-of-the-art price prediction models on our dataset yields promising results, achieving a maximum R2 score of 0.8251 and an accuracy of 74.23% in case of Extra Trees Regressor and Classifier. The key findings reveal that the ensemble models perform better than both deep learning and linear models for our dataset. We observe a significant impact of coordinates, geographical proximity, rarity score, and few other economic indicators on the prediction of parcel prices.

Definition Search Book Streamline Icon: https://streamlinehq.com
References (53)
  1. Nikos Kostopoulos al. “Demystifying NonFungible Tokens (NFTs)” URL: https://www.eublockchainforum.eu/sites/default/files/reports/DemystifyingNFTs_November%202021_2.pdf
  2. “Anticipating cryptocurrency prices using machine learning” In Complexity 2018 Hindawi Limited, 2018, pp. 1–16
  3. Manuel Araoz “Decentraland White Paper”, 2017 URL: https://decentraland.org/whitepaper.pdf
  4. Jerome Branny, Rolf Dornberger and Thomas Hanne “Non-fungible Token Price Prediction with Multivariate LSTM Neural Networks” In 2022 9th International Conference on Soft Computing & Machine Intelligence (ISCMI), 2022, pp. 56–61 IEEE
  5. S Casale Brunet, M Mattavelli and L Chiariglione “Exploring the data of blockchain-based metaverses” In 2023 IEEE International Conference on Metaverse Computing, Networking and Applications (MetaCom), 2023, pp. 109–113 IEEE
  6. Zheshi Chen, Chunhong Li and Wenjun Sun “Bitcoin price prediction using machine learning: An approach to sample dimension engineering” In Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics 365 Elsevier, 2020, pp. 112395
  7. coingecko.com “marketcap”, 2023 URL: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/decentraland
  8. Davide Costa, Lucio La Cava and Andrea Tagarelli “Show me your NFT and I tell you how it will perform: Multimodal representation learning for NFT selling price prediction” In Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference 2023, 2023, pp. 1875–1885
  9. “NFT Appraisal Using Machine Learning” In Proceedings of the 2023 5th Asia Pacific Information Technology Conference, 2023, pp. 160–166
  10. Decentraland “Decentraland Contract Address” URL: https://contracts.decentraland.org/addresses.json
  11. Decentraland “Decentraland Parcels” URL: https://api.decentraland.org/v2/parcels/:x/:y
  12. Decentraland “Decentraland Tiles” URL: https://api.decentraland.org/v2/tiles
  13. Decentraland “Discord”, 2023 URL: https://decentraland.org/discord/
  14. Michael Dowling “Fertile LAND: Pricing non-fungible tokens” In Finance Research Letters 44 Elsevier, 2022, pp. 102096
  15. Michael Dowling “Is non-fungible token pricing driven by cryptocurrencies?” In Finance Research Letters 44 Elsevier, 2022, pp. 102097
  16. “Comparative study of bitcoin price prediction using wavenets, recurrent neural networks and other machine learning methods” In 2019 6th International Conference on Behavioral, Economic and Socio-Cultural Computing (BESC), 2019, pp. 1–6 IEEE
  17. Devin Finzer “OpenSea” URL: https://opensea.io
  18. “Prediction and interpretation of daily NFT and DeFi prices dynamics: Inspection through ensemble machine learning & XAI” In International Review of Financial Analysis 87 Elsevier, 2023, pp. 102558
  19. Mitchell Goldberg, Peter Kugler and Fabian Schär “Land valuation in the metaverse: Location matters” In Available at SSRN 3932189, 2021
  20. Google “BigQuery” URL: https://cloud.google.com/bigquery/?hl=en
  21. “Google Trend Data” URL: https://trends.google.com/trends/
  22. “Forecasting NFT coin prices using machine learning: Insights into feature significance and portfolio strategies” In Global Finance Journal 58 Elsevier, 2023, pp. 100904
  23. “Analysis of Non-fungible token pricing factors with machine learning” In 2022 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2022, pp. 1161–1166 IEEE
  24. “Investing” URL: https://in.investing.com/
  25. Shrey Jain, Camille Bruckmann and Chase McDougall “NFT Appraisal Prediction: Utilizing Search Trends, Public Market Data, Linear Regression and Recurrent Neural Networks” In arXiv preprint arXiv:2204.12932, 2022
  26. “An empirical study on modeling and prediction of bitcoin prices with bayesian neural networks based on blockchain information” In Ieee Access 6 IEEE, 2017, pp. 5427–5437
  27. “Stochastic neural networks for cryptocurrency price prediction” In Ieee access 8 IEEE, 2020, pp. 82804–82818
  28. Kaggle “Decentraland” URL: https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/amirkhalesi/decentraland-nft-estates-dataset-2022
  29. Yuta Kaneko “A time-series analysis of how google trends searches affect cryptocurrency prices for decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens” In 2021 International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW), 2021, pp. 222–227 IEEE
  30. “Tweetboost: Influence of social media on nft valuation” In Companion Proceedings of the Web Conference 2022, 2022, pp. 621–629
  31. “Cryptocurrency forecasting with deep learning chaotic neural networks” In Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 118 Elsevier, 2019, pp. 35–40
  32. Junliang Luo, Yongzheng Jia and Xue Liu “Understanding NFT Price Moves through Tweets Keywords Analysis” In Proceedings of the 2023 ACM Conference on Information Technology for Social Good, 2023, pp. 410–418
  33. “Unveiling social aggregation in the Decentraland metaverse platform” In Proceedings of the 2023 ACM Conference on Information Technology for Social Good, 2023, pp. 419–427
  34. Sean McNally, Jason Roche and Simon Caton “Predicting the price of bitcoin using machine learning” In 2018 26th euromicro international conference on parallel, distributed and network-based processing (PDP), 2018, pp. 339–343 IEEE
  35. DAU Member “How Many DAU Does Decentraland Have?”, 2022 URL: https://decentraland.org/blog/announcements/how-many-dau-does-decentraland-have
  36. “Mapping the NFT revolution: market trends, trade networks, and visual features” In Scientific reports 11.1 Nature Publishing Group UK London, 2021, pp. 20902
  37. OpenSea “OpenSea Retrieve events” URL: https://api.opensea.io/api/v2/events/collection/decentraland
  38. Esteban Ordano “Decentraland” URL: https://decentraland.org
  39. “The NFT hype: What draws attention to non-fungible tokens?” In Mathematics 10.3 MDPI, 2022, pp. 335
  40. rarity.tools “Ranking Rarity: Understanding Rarity Calculation Methods” URL: https://raritytools.medium.com/ranking-rarity-understanding-rarity-calculation-methods-86ceaeb9b98c
  41. reddit “Decentraland” URL: https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/leukipp/reddit-crypto-data/data
  42. reddit.com “Reddit”, 2023 URL: https://www.reddit.com/
  43. “Toward characterizing blockchain-based cryptocurrencies for highly accurate predictions” In IEEE Systems Journal 14.1 IEEE, 2019, pp. 321–332
  44. Rachel Schonbaum “Decentraland NFT (LAND) Market Efficiency & Responsiveness to Events”, 2022
  45. Open Sea “Introducing OpenRarity”, 2022 URL: https://mirror.xyz/openrarity.eth/-R8ZA5KCMgqtsueySlruAhB77YBX6fSnS_dT-8clZPQ
  46. Phumudzo Lloyd Seabe, Claude Rodrigue Bambe Moutsinga and Edson Pindza “Forecasting cryptocurrency prices using LSTM, GRU, and bi-directional LSTM: a deep learning approach” In Fractal and Fractional 7.2 MDPI, 2023, pp. 203
  47. “Bitcoin price prediction using ensembles of neural networks” In 2017 13th International conference on natural computation, fuzzy systems and knowledge discovery (ICNC-FSKD), 2017, pp. 666–671 IEEE
  48. Nico Smuts “What drives cryptocurrency prices? An investigation of Google trends and telegram sentiment” In ACM SIGMETRICS Performance Evaluation Review 46.3 ACM New York, NY, USA, 2019, pp. 131–134
  49. Lina Survila “Decentraland Blockchain Overview” URL: https://nftplazas.com/decentraland/
  50. Matthew Tan “Etherscan” URL: https://etherscan.io
  51. telegram.org “Telegram”, 2023 URL: https://desktop.telegram.org/
  52. Zixiong Wang, Qiuying Chen and Sang-Joon Lee “Prediction of NFT Sale Price Fluctuations on OpenSea Using Machine Learning Approaches.” In Computers, Materials & Continua 75.2, 2023
  53. Christopher Yencha “Spatial heterogeneity and non-fungible token sales: Evidence from Decentraland LAND sales” In Finance Research Letters Elsevier, 2023, pp. 103628

Summary

No one has generated a summary of this paper yet.

Paper to Video (Beta)

No one has generated a video about this paper yet.

Whiteboard

No one has generated a whiteboard explanation for this paper yet.

Open Problems

We haven't generated a list of open problems mentioned in this paper yet.

Continue Learning

We haven't generated follow-up questions for this paper yet.

Collections

Sign up for free to add this paper to one or more collections.

Tweets

Sign up for free to view the 1 tweet with 0 likes about this paper.