Enhancing Trajectory Prediction through Self-Supervised Waypoint Noise Prediction (2312.09466v1)

Abstract: Trajectory prediction is an important task that involves modeling the indeterminate nature of traffic actors to forecast future trajectories given the observed trajectory sequences. However, current methods confine themselves to presumed data manifolds, assuming that trajectories strictly adhere to these manifolds, resulting in overly simplified predictions. To this end, we propose a novel approach called SSWNP (Self-Supervised Waypoint Noise Prediction). In our approach, we first create clean and noise-augmented views of past observed trajectories across the spatial domain of waypoints. We then compel the trajectory prediction model to maintain spatial consistency between predictions from these two views, in addition to the trajectory prediction task. Introducing the noise-augmented view mitigates the model's reliance on a narrow interpretation of the data manifold, enabling it to learn more plausible and diverse representations. We also predict the noise present in the two views of past observed trajectories as an auxiliary self-supervised task, enhancing the model's understanding of the underlying representation and future predictions. Empirical evidence demonstrates that the incorporation of SSWNP into the model learning process significantly improves performance, even in noisy environments, when compared to baseline methods. Our approach can complement existing trajectory prediction methods. To showcase the effectiveness of our approach, we conducted extensive experiments on three datasets: NBA Sports VU, ETH-UCY, and TrajNet++, with experimental results highlighting the substantial improvement achieved in trajectory prediction tasks.