Nonlinear global Fréchet regression for random objects via weak conditional expectation

Abstract: Random objects are complex non-Euclidean data taking value in general metric space, possibly devoid of any underlying vector space structure. Such data are getting increasingly abundant with the rapid advancement in technology. Examples include probability distributions, positive semi-definite matrices, and data on Riemannian manifolds. However, except for regression for object-valued response with Euclidean predictors and distribution-on-distribution regression, there has been limited development of a general framework for object-valued response with object-valued predictors in the literature. To fill this gap, we introduce the notion of a weak conditional Fr\'echet mean based on Carleman operators and then propose a global nonlinear Fr\'echet regression model through the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embedding. Furthermore, we establish the relationships between the conditional Fr\'echet mean and the weak conditional Fr\'echet mean for both Euclidean and object-valued data. We also show that the state-of-the-art global Fr\'echet regression developed by Petersen and Mueller, 2019 emerges as a special case of our method by choosing a linear kernel. We require that the metric space for the predictor admits a reproducing kernel, while the intrinsic geometry of the metric space for the response is utilized to study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimates. Numerical studies, including extensive simulations and a real application, are conducted to investigate the performance of our estimator in a finite sample.