Machine Learning-Aided First-Principles Calculations of Redox Potentials

Abstract: Redox potentials of electron transfer reactions are of fundamental importance for the performance and description of electrochemical devices. Despite decades of research, accurate computational predictions for the redox potential of even simple metals remain very challenging. Here we use a combination of first principles calculations and machine learning to predict the redox potentials of three redox couples, $\mathrm{Fe}^{2+}$/$\mathrm{Fe}^{3+}$, $\mathrm{Cu}^{+}$/$\mathrm{Cu}^{2+}$ and $\mathrm{Ag}^{+}$/$\mathrm{Ag}^{2+}$. Using a hybrid functional with a fraction of 25\% exact exchange (PBE0) the predicted values are 0.92, 0.26 and 1.99 V in good agreement with the best experimental estimates (0.77, 0.15, 1.98 V). We explain in detail, how we combine machine learning, thermodynamic integration from machine learning to semi-local functionals, as well as a combination of thermodynamic perturbation theory and $\Delta$-machine learning to determine the redox potentials for computationally expensive hybrid functionals. The combination of these approaches allows one to obtain statistically accurate results.