Covariate-informed reconstruction of partially observed functional data via factor models

Abstract: This paper studies linear reconstruction of partially observed functional data which are recorded on a discrete grid. We propose a novel estimation approach based on approximate factor models with increasing rank taking into account potential covariate information. Whereas alternative reconstruction procedures commonly involve some preliminary smoothing, our method separates the signal from noise and reconstructs missing fragments at once. We establish uniform convergence rates of our estimator and introduce a new method for constructing simultaneous prediction bands for the missing trajectories. A simulation study examines the performance of the proposed methods in finite samples. Finally, a real data application of temperature curves demonstrates that our theory provides a simple and effective method to recover missing fragments.