Learned Collusion
Abstract: Q-learning can be described as an all-purpose automaton that provides estimates (Q-values) of the continuation values associated with each available action and follows the naive policy of almost always choosing the action with highest Q-value. We consider a family of automata based on Q-values, whose policy may systematically favor some actions over others, for example through a bias that favors cooperation. We look for stable equilibrium biases, easily learned under converging logit/best-response dynamics over biases, not requiring any tacit agreement. These biases strongly foster collusion or cooperation across a rich array of payoff and monitoring structures, independently of initial Q-values.
- Toward a theory of discounted repeated games with imperfect monitoring. Econometrica, 58(5):1041–1063, 1990.
- Artificial intelligence, algorithm design, and pricing. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 112:452–56, May 2022.
- Peter Auer. Using confidence bounds for exploitation-exploration trade-offs. J. Mach. Learn. Res., 3:397–422, 2002.
- Robert Axelrod. The Evolution of Cooperation. Basic Books, New York, 1984.
- Adaptive algorithms and collusion via coupling, 2022. URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2202.05946.
- Artificial intelligence and auction design, 2022.
- Modeling the effects of environmental and perceptual uncertainty using deterministic reinforcement learning dynamics with partial observability. Phys. Rev. E, 105:034409, Mar 2022.
- Competition in pricing algorithms, 2021.
- Artificial intelligence, algorithmic pricing, and collusion. American Economic Review, 110(10):3267–97, October 2020.
- Algorithmic pricing with imperfect monitoring. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 79102712, 2021.
- Olivier Compte. Private observations, communication and coordination in repeated games. Ph.D. Thesis Stanford, 1994.
- Olivier Compte. On sustaining cooperation without public observations. Journal of Economic Theory, 102(1):106–150, January 2002.
- Plausible cooperation. Games and Economic Behavior, 91:45–59, 2015.
- Ignorance and Uncertainty. Econometric Society Monographs. Cambridge University Press, 2018. doi: 10.1017/9781108379991.
- A robust folk theorem for the prisoner’s dilemma. J. Econ. Theory, 102:84–105, 2002.
- Berk-nash equilibrium: A framework for modeling agents with misspecified models. Econometrica, 84(3):1093–1130, 2016.
- Reputation and equilibrium selection in games with a patient player. Econometrica, 57(4):759–778, 1989.
- The folk theorem in repeated games with discounting or with incomplete information. Econometrica, 54(3):533–554, 1986.
- The folk theorem with imperfect public information. Econometrica, 62(5):997–1039, 1994.
- Frontiers: Algorithmic collusion: Supra-competitive prices via independent algorithms. Marketing Science, 40(1):1–12, 2021. doi: 10.1287/mksc.2020.1276.
- Philippe Jehiel. Analogy-based expectation equilibrium. Journal of Economic Theory, 123(2):81–104, 2005.
- Evolving aspirations and cooperation. Journal of Economic Theory, 80(2):292–331, 1998.
- Timo Klein. Autonomous algorithmic collusion: Q-learning under sequential pricing. The RAND Journal of Economics, 52(3):538–558, 2021.
- Repeated games and reputations: long-run relationships. Oxford University Press, 2006.
- Games with procedurally rational players. The American Economic Review, 88(4):834–847, 1998.
- Michele Piccione. The repeated prisoner’s dilemma with imperfect private monitoring. Journal of Economic Theory, 102(1):70–83, 2002.
- Tadashi Sekiguchi. Efficiency in repeated prisoner’s dilemma with private monitoring. Journal of Economic Theory, 76(2):345–361, 1997.
- Herbert A. Simon. A behavioral model of rational choice. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1):99–118, 1955.
- Learning without state-estimation in partially observable markovian decision processes. In William W. Cohen and Haym Hirsh, editors, Machine Learning Proceedings 1994, pages 284–292. Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (CA), 1994.
- Takuo Sugaya. Folk theorem in repeated games with private monitoring. The Review of Economic Studies, 89(4):2201–2256, 11 2022.
- Q-learning. Machine Learning, 8(3):279–292, 1992.
Paper Prompts
Sign up for free to create and run prompts on this paper using GPT-5.
Top Community Prompts
Collections
Sign up for free to add this paper to one or more collections.