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Gaussian fluctuations for the two urn model

Published 20 Jan 2023 in math.PR and math.SP | (2301.08602v2)

Abstract: We introduce a modification of the generalized P\'olya urn model containing two urns and we study the number of balls Bj(n)B_j(n) of a given color j1,,Jj\in{1,\ldots,J}, JNJ\in\mathbb{N} added to the urns after nn draws. We provide sufficient conditions under which the random variables (Bj(n))nN(B_j(n))_{n\in\mathbb{N}} properly normalized and centered converge weakly to a limiting random variable. The result reveals a similar trichotomy as in the classical case with one urn, one of the main differences being that in the scaling we encounter 1-periodic continuous functions. Another difference in our results compared to the classical urn models is that the phase transition of the second order behavior occurs at ρ\sqrt{\rho} and not at ρ/2\rho/2, where ρ\rho is the dominant eigenvalue of the mean replacement matrix.

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