Monitoring pollution pathways in river water by predictive path modelling using untargeted GC-MS measurements

Abstract: A comprehensive approach to protect river water quality is needed within the European Water Framework Directive. Non-target screening of a complete chemical fingerprint of the aquatic ecosystem is essential, to identify chemicals of emerging concern and to reveal their suspicious dynamic patterns in river water. This requires a new combination of two measurement paradigms: the path of potential pollution should be traced through the river network, while there may be many compounds that make up this chemical composition - both known and unknown. Dedicated data processing of ongoing GC-MS measurements at 9 sites along the Rhine using PARAFAC2 for non-target screening, combined with spatiotemporal modelling of these sites within the river network using path modelling (Process PLS), provided a new integrated approach to track chemicals through the Rhine catchment, and tentatively identify known and as-yet unknown potential pollutants based on non-target screening and spatiotemporal behaviour.