Generalising Aumann's Agreement Theorem

Abstract: Aumann's celebrated theorem says that a group of agents who once shared a common prior probability distribution cannot assign different posteriors to a given proposition, should these agents have common knowledge about their posteriors. In other words, rational agents cannot agree to disagree. Aumann's agreement theorem was one of the first attempts to formalise and explore the role played by common knowledge in decision theory. Recently, we have seen a resurfacing of the debate around possible (quantum) extensions of Aumann's results. This paper contributes to this discussion. First, as expected, we argue that agreeing to disagree is impossible in quantum theory. Secondly, and based on the quantum argument, we show that agreeing to disagree is also forbidden in any generalised probability theory.