Improved assessment of the statistical stability of turbulent flows using extended Orr-Sommerfeld stability analysis

Abstract: The concept of statistical stability is central to Malkus's 1956 attempt to predict the mean profile in shear flow turbulence. Here we discuss how his original attempt to assess this - an Orr-Sommerfeld analysis on the mean profile - can be improved by considering a cumulant expansion of the Navier-Stokes equations. Focusing on the simplest non-trivial closure (commonly referred to as CE2) which corresponds to the quasilinearized Navier-Stokes equations, we develop an extended Orr-Sommerfeld analysis (EOS) which also incorporates information about the fluctuation field. A more practical version of this - minimally extended Orr-Sommerfeld analysis (mEOS) - is identified and tested on a number of statistically-steady and therefore statistically stable turbulent channel flows. Beyond the concept of statistical stability, this extended stability analysis should also improve the popular approach of mean-flow linear analysis in time-dependent shear flows by including more information about the underlying flow in its predictions as well as for other flows with additional physics such as convection.