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GW190521 as a black-hole merger coincident with the ZTF19abanrhr flare

Published 23 Dec 2021 in gr-qc and astro-ph.HE | (2112.12481v1)

Abstract: We present an analysis that reconciles the gravitational-wave signal GW190521 observed by the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors with the electromagnetic flare ZTF19abanrhr observed by the Zwicky Transient Facility. We analyze GW190521 under a mass-ratio prior uniform in Q∈[1,4]Q \in [1,4] and using the state-of-the-art waveform model for black-hole mergers \texttt{NRSur7dq4}. We find a 90%90\% credible region for the black-hole masses extending far outside what originally reported by \cite{GW190521D}, where our maximum likelihood masses reside. We find a 15%15\% probability that both black holes avoid the pair-instability supernova gap. We infer a three-dimensional sky-location highly consistent with ZTF19abanrhr, obtaining an odds-ratio O<em>C/R=72:1{\cal{O}}<em>{C/R}=72:1 that strongly favors the hypothesis of a true coincidence over a random one. Combining this event with the neutron-star merger GW170817, we estimate a Hubble constant H0=72.1<sup>+10.6</sup></em>−6.4km s<sup>−1 Mpc<sup>−1_0=72.1<sup>{+10.6}</sup></em>{-6.4}\mathrm{km\,s<sup>{-1}\,Mpc<sup>{-1}} at the 68%68\% credible level.

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