Optimal stopping of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge (2110.13056v3)

Abstract: We make a rigorous analysis of the existence and characterization of the free boundary related to the optimal stopping problem that maximizes the mean of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck bridge. The result includes the Brownian bridge problem as a limit case. The methodology hereby presented relies on a time-space transformation that casts the original problem into a more tractable one with an infinite horizon and a Brownian motion underneath. We comment on two different numerical algorithms to compute the free-boundary equation and discuss illustrative cases that shed light on the boundary's shape. In particular, the free boundary generally does not share the monotonicity of the Brownian bridge case.