Causal Digital Twin from Multi-channel IoT

Abstract: Treating data from each sensor in an IoT installation on its own separately is wasteful. This article shows how to treat them as a multi-channel time series and introduces the State-space model formulation of Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model and the use of time-varying Kalman Filter for optimal estimation of causal parameters. Ladder graphs are introduced as a powerful visualization tool for SVAR estimates where both instantaneous and lagged causal factors are displayed and interactions analyzed. Ladder Graph IS the Causal Digital Twin (CDT); its use for multiple IoT applications that involve multi-channel time series are explored briefly. The main takeaway is that the NEXT STEP in IoT ML is the utilization of data from multiple sensors collectively as a single multi-channel time series. This article shows the way to do it and extract high-order (causal) information via our ladder graph based Causal Digital Twin.