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A Zero-One Law for Markov Chains

Published 8 Nov 2020 in math.PR | (2011.04063v1)

Abstract: We prove an analog of the classical Zero-One Law for both homogeneous and nonhomogeneous Markov chains (MC). Its almost precise formulation is simple: given any event AA from the tail σ\sigma-algebra of MC (Zn)(Z_n), for large nn, with probability near one, the trajectories of the MC are in states ii, where P(A∣Zn=i)P(A|Z_n=i) is either near $0$ or near $1$. A similar statement holds for the entrance σ\sigma-algebra, when nn tends to −∞-\infty. To formulate this second result, we give detailed results on the existence of nonhomogeneous Markov chains indexed by Z−\mathbb Z_- or Z\mathbb Z in both the finite and countable cases. This extends a well-known result due to Kolmogorov. Further, in our discussion, we note an interesting dichotomy between two commonly used definitions of MCs.

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