Mixing properties of Skellam-GARCH processes

Abstract: We consider integer-valued GARCH processes, where the count variable conditioned on past values of the count and state variables follows a so-called Skellam distribution. Using arguments for contractive Markov chains we prove that the process has a unique stationary regime. Furthermore, we show asymptotic regularity ($\beta$-mixing) with geometrically decaying coefficients for the count process. These probabilistic results are complemented by a statistical analysis, a few simulations as well as an application to recent COVID-19 data.