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The shape of the value function under Poisson optimal stopping

Published 8 Mar 2020 in math.PR | (2003.03834v2)

Abstract: In a classical problem for the stopping of a diffusion process $(X_t){t \geq 0}$, where the goal is to maximise the expected discounted value of a function of the stopped process ${\mathbb E}x[e{-\beta \tau}g(X\tau)]$, maximisation takes place over all stopping times $\tau$. In a Poisson optimal stopping problem, stopping is restricted to event times of an independent Poisson process. In this article we consider whether the resulting value function $V_\theta(x) = \sup_{\tau \in {\mathcal T}({\mathbb T}\theta)}{\mathbb E}x[e{-\beta \tau}g(X_\tau)]$ (where the supremum is taken over stopping times taking values in the event times of an inhomogeneous Poisson process with rate $\theta = (\theta(X_t)){t \geq 0}$) inherits monotonicity and convexity properties from $g$. It turns out that monotonicity (respectively convexity) of $V\theta$ in $x$ depends on the monotonicity (respectively convexity) of the quantity $\frac{\theta(x) g(x)}{\theta(x) + \beta}$ rather than $g$. Our main technique is stochastic coupling.

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