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A Simple Point Estimator of the Power of Moments

Published 31 Mar 2017 in math.PR | (1703.10716v1)

Abstract: Let $X$ be an observable random variable with unknown distribution function $F(x) = \mathbb{P}(X \leq x), - \infty < x < \infty$, and let [\ \theta = \sup\left { r \geq 0:~ \mathbb{E}|X|{r} < \infty \right }. ] We call $\theta$ the power of moments of the random variable $X$. Let $X_{1}, X_{2}, ..., X_{n}$ be a random sample of size $n$ drawn from $F(\cdot)$. In this paper we propose the following simple point estimator of $\theta$ and investigate its asymptotic properties: [ \hat{\theta}{n} = \frac{\log n}{\log \max{1 \leq k \leq n} |X_{k}|}, ] where $\log x = \ln(e \vee x), ~- \infty < x < \infty$. In particular, we show that [ \hat{\theta}{n} \rightarrow{\mathbb{P}} \theta~~\mbox{if and only if}~~ \lim_{x \rightarrow \infty} x{r} \mathbb{P}(|X| > x) = \infty ~~\forall~r > \theta. ] This means that, under very reasonable conditions on $F(\cdot)$, $\hat{\theta}_{n}$ is actually a consistent estimator of $\theta$. Hypothesis testing for the power of moments is conducted and, as an application of our main results, the formula for finding the p-value of the test is given. In addition, a theoretical application of our main results is provided together with three illustrative examples.

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