Sequential sampling models in computational psychiatry: Bayesian parameter estimation, model selection and classification

Abstract: Current psychiatric research is in crisis. In this review I will describe the causes of this crisis and highlight recent efforts to overcome current challenges. One particularly promising approach is the emerging field of computational psychiatry. By using methods and insights from computational cognitive neuroscience, computational psychiatry might enable us to move from a symptom-based description of mental illness to descriptors based on objective computational multidimensional functional variables. To exemplify this I will survey recent efforts towards this goal. I will then describe a set of methods that together form a toolbox of cognitive models to aid this research program. At the core of this toolbox are sequential sampling models which have been used to explain diverse cognitive neuroscience phenomena but have so far seen little adoption in psychiatric research. I will then describe how these models can be fitted to subject data and highlight how hierarchical Bayesian estimation provides a rich framework with many desirable properties and benefits compared to traditional optimization-based approaches. Finally, non-parametric Bayesian methods provide general solutions to the problem of classifying mental illness within this framework.