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How relevant is the predictive power of the h-index? A case study of the time-dependent Hirsch index
Published 10 Jan 2013 in physics.soc-ph and cs.DL | (1301.2060v1)
Abstract: The h-index has been shown to have predictive power. Here I report results of an empirical study showing that the increase of the h-index with time often depends for a long time on citations to rather old publications. This inert behavior of the h-index means that it is difficult to use it as a measure for predicting future scientific output.
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