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Asympotic behavior of the total length of external branches for Beta-coalescents

Published 27 Feb 2012 in math.PR and q-bio.PE | (1202.5859v3)

Abstract: We consider a ${\Lambda}$-coalescent and we study the asymptotic behavior of the total length $L{(n)}_{ext}$ of the external branches of the associated $n$-coalescent. For Kingman coalescent, i.e. ${\Lambda}={\delta}0$, the result is well known and is useful, together with the total length $L{(n)}$, for Fu and Li's test of neutrality of mutations% under the infinite sites model asumption . For a large family of measures ${\Lambda}$, including Beta$(2-{\alpha},{\alpha})$ with $0<\alpha<1$, M{\"o}hle has proved asymptotics of $L{(n)}{ext}$. Here we consider the case when the measure ${\Lambda}$ is Beta$(2-{\alpha},{\alpha})$, with $1<\alpha<2$. We prove that $n{{\alpha}-2}L{(n)}_{ext}$ converges in $L2$ to $\alpha(\alpha-1)\Gamma(\alpha)$. As a consequence, we get that $L{(n)}_{ext}/L{(n)}$ converges in probability to $2-\alpha$. To prove the asymptotics of $L{(n)}_{ext}$, we use a recursive construction of the $n$-coalescent by adding individuals one by one. Asymptotics of the distribution of $d$ normalized external branch lengths and a related moment result are also given.

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