The Combinatorics of Avalanche Dynamics
Abstract: We give a simple and elementary proof of the identity $$\sum_{r=1}n\sum_{k_1,...,k_r\ge 1: \sum_{i=1}r k_i= n} \frac {n!} {k_1!k_2!...k_r!}k_1{k_2}...k_{r-1}{k_r}=(n+1){n-1}$$ where $n\in \mathbb N$. A first application of this formula shows Cayley's theorem \cite{Caley} on the number of trees with $n+1$ vertices (in fact the formula is equivalent to Cayley's result). A second application gives the distribution of avalanche sizes, which can be deduced for general dynamical systems and also as a bilogically motivated urn model in probability. In particular, the law of avalanche sizes in Eurich et al. \cite{EHE} and Levina \cite{Levina} is closely related to this dynamical representation.
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