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Why DD-Payne oxygen precision appears to beat the Cramér–Rao bound

Explain why the internal precision for oxygen abundance derived with the Data-Driven Payne from DESI Early Data Release spectra is slightly smaller than the Cramér–Rao bound, and ascertain whether covariance among labels, particularly with carbon and nitrogen, accounts for this apparent discrepancy.

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Background

The authors compare internal precision of their label estimates against theoretical limits from the Cramér–Rao bound. For most elements, uncertainties are within a factor of two of the bound, but oxygen shows a slightly smaller error than the bound, which should represent a lower limit.

They explicitly state that the detailed reason for this is unclear and hypothesize that label covariance, especially among nitrogen and carbon, might play a role, leaving the phenomenon unexplained.

References

The oxygen shows slightly smaller measurement error than the CR bound. The detailed reason is unclear, but we suspect it might be a consequence of covariance between other labels, especially between nitrogen and carbon.

Determining Stellar Elemental Abundances from DESI Spectra with the Data-Driven Payne (2402.06242 - Zhang et al., 9 Feb 2024) in Section 4.2 (Stellar abundances), discussion accompanying Fig. 8