Tropicalization of the Hurwitz space and universal linear-series parameter space

Determine whether, for degrees d ≤ ⌈g/2⌉, the generalized cone complex of full-rank tropical morphisms from genus-g metric graphs to metric trees is the tropicalization of the Hurwitz space of degree-d covers of the projective line, and, in the even-genus case g = 2g′ with d = g′ + 1, whether it tropicalizes the Eisenbud–Harris universal parameter space of linear series with algebraic cycle multiplicities equal to the determinantal multiplicities defined for the tropical morphisms.

Background

The paper constructs a generalized cone complex $\TM d g$ parametrizing degree-dd tropical morphisms from genus-gg metric graphs, up to tropical modification, to metric trees. For even genus g=2g′g=2g' and degree d=g′+1d=g'+1, the projection $\Pi\colon \TM d g\to\MTrop g$ is proved to be a surjective branched cover of degree equal to the Catalan number, with fibers counted using natural determinantal multiplicities.

The unresolved issue is whether this tropical parameter space has a direct non-Archimedean algebraic origin. Specifically, the question asks whether it is the tropicalization of the Hurwitz space of degree-d covers of $\PP^1$, whose image in the tropical moduli space would correspond to the tropicalization of the dd-gonal locus, and whether in the even-genus case it tropicalizes the universal parameter space of linear series studied by Eisenbud and Harris. A positive answer would also identify the tropical determinantal multiplicities with the corresponding algebraic cycle multiplicities.

References

It is an open question, for $d \le \lceil g /2 \rceil$, whether $\TM {d} g$ is the tropicalization of the Hurwitz space of degree-$d$ covers of $\PP1$ (whose image in $\MTrop g$ would tropicalize the $d$-gonal locus of $\calM g$). For even genus $g=2g'$ and $d = g'+1$, the question asks whether $\TM d g$ tropicalizes the universal parameter space of linear series studied by Eisenbud and Harris, and whether the algebraic cycle multiplicities coincide with our determinantal multiplicities $\absMult \dtmor$.

— Catalan-many tropical morphisms to trees; Part II: A space and a count  (2609.09109 - Vargas, 8 Sep 2026) in Introduction, paragraph following Corollary \ref{theorem-gonality}