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Long-term sustainability of Ukraine’s Gold OA publication surge

Determine whether the observed post-2022 growth in Ukrainian-authored output in fully Gold Open Access journals is sustainable over the long term or instead represents a temporary peak driven by exceptional wartime circumstances.

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Background

The analysis documents a marked increase in Ukrainian-authored Gold OA publications in 2023 and 2024. However, the paper window is short and coincides with extraordinary support measures and crisis conditions.

The authors explicitly flag uncertainty about whether this growth reflects a durable shift or a short-lived spike, framing a need for longitudinal assessment.

References

However, it remains to be seen whether the observed growth in Ukrainian Gold OA output is sustainable over the long term, or whether it reflects a temporary peak driven by exceptional circumstances.

The effect of APC discounts on Ukraine's participation in gold open access journals (2505.12134 - Nazarovets, 17 May 2025) in Section 4.4, Methodological limitations