Can smooth calibration achieve faster rates than traditional calibration?
Ascertain whether smooth calibration can be guaranteed at rates faster than those known for traditional calibration in adversarial online environments, and, if so, develop algorithms that achieve such improved rates.
References
A related notion of smooth calibration has similar guarantees under the assumption that downstream agents smoothly best respond (and has other desirable properties), but is not known to be obtainable at faster rates than traditional calibration.
— Forecasting for Swap Regret for All Downstream Agents
(2402.08753 - Roth et al., 13 Feb 2024) in Introduction, paragraph on smooth calibration