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Multistationarity and multistability in SIRnS for n > 2

Investigate whether the SIRnS model (with n > 2 recovered classes) exhibits multistationarity and multistability; characterize parameter regimes yielding multiple equilibria and multiple stable equilibria.

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Background

SIRnS generalizes SIRS by introducing multiple recovered stages and potential infectiousness during recovery, leading to richer dynamics and possible non-uniqueness of endemic equilibria.

While Hopf and bifurcation inheritance results exist, the existence and classification of multi-equilibria and multi-stability remain unresolved for higher n.

References

Open Problem 9. The multi-stationarity and multi-stability of SIRnS are open problems, for n > 2.

Stability in Reaction Network Models via an Extension of the Next Generation Matrix Method (2411.11867 - Avram et al., 3 Nov 2024) in Section 5.2