Congruence of the normalized square-grid matching count

Prove that for every nonnegative integer k, the integer c_k defined by a(2k+1)=2^k c_k is congruent to 1 modulo 8.

Background

The paper defines a(2k+1) as the number of near-perfect matchings of the (2k+1)×(2k+1) square grid. It proves that a(2k+1) is an odd multiple of 2k, so a(2k+1)=2k c_k for an odd integer c_k.

The authors identify Kong’s stronger conjecture that the odd factor c_k is always congruent to 1 modulo 8. They prove that this conjecture would follow if the number of near-perfect matchings with a hole on the central row or column, excluding the center, were always divisible by 2{k+1}; the required divisibility had only been checked computationally for k≤16 in the provided text.

References

Kong made some further conjectures on the properties of $c_k$. For example: For all $k$, $a(2k+1) = 2k c_k$ where $c_k$ is congruent to $1$ modulo $8$.

A Note on One-Hole Domino Tilings of Squares and Rectangles  (2502.05918 - Byun et al., 9 Feb 2025) in Conjecture 1, Section 2, “The Square Minus a Hole”