Identifiability of ODK drift and diffusion objectives

Establish whether the $L_q$ and $L_p$ objectives for Ordered Diffusion Kernels are identifiable from the assumed observations, or determine why identifiability is impossible, so that drift and state-dependent diffusion can be interpreted reliably after optimization.

Background

The paper introduces the LqL_q and LpL_p maximum-likelihood objectives to infer ordering or drift information together with constant or state-dependent diffusion from independently sampled observations, with the LpL_p objective additionally using sampling times. The authors demonstrate empirically that these objectives can recover the dynamics of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck and nonlinear stochastic differential equations, but they also observe that the optimization landscape may be flat and that deterministic drift and stochastic diffusion can compensate for one another.

This creates a fundamental identifiability question: the same observed evolution might potentially be represented through different combinations of ordering gradients and spatially varying diffusion. The paper reports only weak empirical evidence for identifiability and explicitly leaves a theoretical result—or an explanation of non-identifiability—unresolved.

References

In this paper, we do not prove that either the $L_q$ or $L_p$ objective is identifiable from our assumed observations; providing such a result, or understanding why it is not possible, would give much-needed context for the sort of scientific statements one can make after running these optimisations (see related work of Lavenant et al. ).

Ordered Diffusion Kernels  (2608.18019 - Soulsby et al., 18 Aug 2026) in Future Directions, Section Conclusion

Our conceptualisation of ODKs as forming a representation of the underlying dynamics that generated the data constrains the notion of what good looks like, but for data that is very sparse or inhomogeneously sampled, it is not clear that the best representation of the dynamics would be possible given a specific sampling of the data.

Ordered Diffusion Kernels  (2608.18019 - Soulsby et al., 18 Aug 2026) in Limitations, Section Conclusion