High-dimensional singular marginal-likelihood asymptotics

Extend the asymptotic log-marginal-likelihood expansions for probabilistic principal component analysis to high-dimensional regimes in which the dimension grows and model singularities are present.

Background

The paper derives complete fixed-dimension, large-sample asymptotics for marginal likelihoods in probabilistic principal component analysis using singular learning theory. In high-dimensional covariance estimation, however, the dimension may grow with the sample size, and standard Laplace-approximation arguments require regularity conditions that fail at PPCA singularities. The authors identify obtaining corresponding high-dimensional asymptotics as an unresolved direction.

References

Obtaining asymptotic log-marginal likelihood expansions in high-dimensions when singularities are present is a challenging open direction.

Asymptotics for Model Selection in Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis  (2608.23513 - Drton et al., 24 Aug 2026) in Section 6, Conclusion and Future Directions

Determining the learning coefficients for the larger class of stratified PCA models remains an open question.

Asymptotics for Model Selection in Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis  (2608.23513 - Drton et al., 24 Aug 2026) in Section 6, Conclusion and Future Directions