High-dimensional singular marginal-likelihood asymptotics

Extend the asymptotic log-marginal-likelihood expansions for probabilistic principal component analysis to high-dimensional regimes in which the dimension grows and model singularities are present.

Background

The paper derives complete fixed-dimension, large-sample asymptotics for marginal likelihoods in probabilistic principal component analysis using singular learning theory. In high-dimensional covariance estimation, however, the dimension may grow with the sample size, and standard Laplace-approximation arguments require regularity conditions that fail at PPCA singularities. The authors identify obtaining corresponding high-dimensional asymptotics as an unresolved direction.

References

Obtaining asymptotic log-marginal likelihood expansions in high-dimensions when singularities are present is a challenging open direction.

— Asymptotics for Model Selection in Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis  (2608.23513 - Drton et al., 24 Aug 2026) in Section 6, Conclusion and Future Directions

Determining the learning coefficients for the larger class of stratified PCA models remains an open question.

— Asymptotics for Model Selection in Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis  (2608.23513 - Drton et al., 24 Aug 2026) in Section 6, Conclusion and Future Directions