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Effect of mode-of-voting misclassification on candidate totals

Explain and assess how misclassification of the mode of voting (election day, advance, absentee) could differentially affect candidate totals and whether such misclassification can account for the observed discrepancies across counts in Fulton County precinct RW01.

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Background

In discussing RW01 results, the paper notes large candidate-specific differences across the original count, audit, and recount. It observes the possibility of misclassification by mode of voting but points out that this mechanism does not transparently explain candidate-specific effects.

Understanding whether and how mode-of-voting misclassification could produce the observed discrepancies remains unresolved.

References

It is not clear how misclassification of the mode of voting would affect one candidate's totals much more than the other candidates.

— When Audits and Recounts Distract from Election Integrity: The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in Georgia (2408.00055 - Stark, 31 Jul 2024) in Footnote to Table in Section “First Count, Audit, and Recount Differ Substantially”