Causes of prompt-induced shifts in LLM-generated label distributions
Investigate the causal mechanisms behind the large shifts in the distribution of labels generated by large language models when prompt designs vary (for example, when explanations are requested), by isolating the contributions of differences in model architecture and training regimen, including reinforcement learning from human feedback.
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A short length-matched arm lies between them, and a fourth arm designed to stay short while preserving hedging is highly unstable across its three seeds, so which feature of the target's form is responsible is unresolved.
The reasons behind these shifts are unclear and could be due to differences in model architecture or the nature of training, including reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF).
Third, family-L graphs are generated by a single vendor's LLM. The cross-vendor evaluator question has been addressed by GT-3b (0 defeats, W=1.0), but the single-vendor graph-generator question is not closed: the graphs' structure and label distributions carry the generating model's preferences. All three tested families are Chinese-optimized large models, same-source contamination through shared Chinese corpora cannot be ruled out, and testing non-Chinese model families and human-annotated graphs remains an open limitation.