The Mixed-Sparse-Smooth-Model Toolbox (MSSM): Efficient Estimation and Selection of Large Multi-Level Statistical Models (2506.13132v1)

Abstract: Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored specifically to the estimation of mixed models. As a result, estimation can slow down as the number of random effects increases. Additionally, users often have to provide a substantial amount of problem-specific information in case they are interested in more general non-standard smooth models, such as higher-order derivatives of the likelihood. Here we combined and extended recently proposed strategies to reduce memory requirements and matrix infill into a theoretical framework that supports efficient estimation of general mixed sparse smooth models, including GAMs & GAMLSS, based only on the Gradient and Hessian of the log-likelihood. To make non-standard smooth models more accessible, we developed an approximate estimation algorithm (the L-qEFS update) based on limited-memory quasi-Newton methods. This enables estimation of any general smooth model based only on the log-likelihood function. We also considered the problem of model selection for general mixed smooth models. To facilitate practical application we provide a Python implementation of the theoretical framework, algorithms, and model selection strategies presented here: the Mixed-Sparse-Smooth-Model (MSSM) toolbox. MSSM supports estimation and selection of massive additive multi-level models that are impossible to estimate with alternative software, for example of trial level EEG data. Additionally, when the L-qEFS update is used for estimation, implementing a new non-standard smooth model in MSSM is straightforward. Results from multiple simulation studies and real data examples are presented, showing that the framework implemented in MSSM is both efficient and robust to numerical instabilities.