Correlation without Factors in Retail Cryptocurrency Markets (2412.04263v1)

Abstract: A simple model-free and distribution-free statistic, the functional relationship between the number of "effective" degrees of freedom and portfolio size, or N*(N), is used to discriminate between two alternative models for the correlation of daily cryptocurrency returns within a retail universe of defined by the list of tradable assets available to account holders at the Robinhood brokerage. The average pairwise correlation between daily cryptocurrency returns is found to be high (of order 60%) and the data collected supports description of the cross-section of returns by a simple isotropic correlation model distinct from a decomposition into a linear factor model with additive noise with high confidence. This description appears to be relatively stable through time.