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A useful family of fat-tailed distributions

Published 4 Feb 2022 in math.ST, stat.AP, and stat.TH | (2202.03253v1)

Abstract: It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and the Cauchy distribution. It is fat-tailed, but has all moments finite, and the moment-generating function exists. It would be useful as an alternative to the t-distribution for a sensitivity analysis to check the robustness of results or for computations where finite moments are needed, such as in option-pricing. It can be motivated probabilistically in at least two ways, either as the random thinning of a long-tailed distribution, or as random variation of the variance of a normal distribution. Its properties are described, algorithms for random-number generation are provided, and examples of its use in data-fitting given. Some related distributions are also discussed, including asymmetric and multivariate distributions.

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