Application of Multiple Imputation When Using Propensity Score Methods to Generalize Clinical Trials to Target Populations of Interest

Abstract: When the distribution of treatment effect modifiers differs between the trial sample and target population, inverse probability weighting (IPSW) can be applied to achieve an unbiased estimate of the population average treatment effect in the target population. The statistical validity of IPSW is threatened when there are missing data in the target population, including potential missingness in trial sample. However, missing data methods have not been adequately discussed in the current literature. We conducted a set of simulation studies to determine how to apply multiple imputation (MI) in the context of IPSW. We specifically addressed questions such as which variables to include in the imputation model and whether they should come from trial or non-trial portion of the target population. Based on our findings, we recommend including all potential effect modifiers and trial indicator from both trial and non-trial populations, as well as treatment and outcome variables from trial sample in the imputation model as main effects. Additionally, we have illustrated ideas by transporting findings from the Frequent Hemodialysis Network (FHN) Daily Trial to the United States Renal Stage System (USRDS) population.