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The impact of a nation-wide lockdown on COVID-19 transmissibility in Italy (2004.12338v1)
Published 26 Apr 2020 in q-bio.PE
Abstract: On March 10, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of COVID-19. Here we estimate that, fourteen days after the implementation of the strategy, the net reproduction number has dropped below the epidemic threshold - estimated range 0.4-0.7. Our findings provide a timeline of the effectiveness of the implemented lockdown, which is relevant for a large number of countries that followed Italy in enforcing similar measures.