Galaxy formation in the Planck Millennium: the atomic hydrogen content of dark matter halos

Abstract: We present recalibrations of the GALFORM semi-analytical model of galaxy formation in a new N-body simulation with the Planck cosmology. The Planck Millennium simulation uses more than 128 billion particles to resolve the matter distribution in a cube of $800$ Mpc on a side, which contains more than 77 million dark matter haloes with mass greater than $2.12 \times 10^{9} h^{-1} {\rm M_{\odot}}$ at the present day. Only minor changes to a very small number of model parameters are required in the recalibration. We present predictions for the atomic hydrogen content (HI) of dark matter halos, which is a key input into the calculation of the HI intensity mapping signal expected from the large-scale structure of the Universe. We find that the HI mass $-$ halo mass relation displays a clear break at the halo mass above which AGN heating suppresses gas cooling, $\approx 3 \times 10^{11} h^{-1} M_{\rm \odot}$. Below this halo mass, the HI content of haloes is dominated by the central galaxy; above this mass it is the combined HI content of satellites that prevails. We find that the HI mass - halo mass relation changes little with redshift up to $z=3$. The bias of HI sources shows a scale dependence that gets more pronounced with increasing redshift.